Tuberculosis
Volume 101, 2016, Pages 67-74
Relating annual migration from high tuberculosis burden country of origin to changes in foreign-born tuberculosis notification rates in low-medium incidence European countries (Article)
Hanway A. ,
Comiskey C.M. ,
Tobin K. ,
O'Toole R.F.*
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a
School of Nursing and Midwifery, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
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b
School of Nursing and Midwifery, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
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c
School of Nursing and Midwifery, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland, Academic Unit of Neurology, Trinity College Dublin, Ireland
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d
Breathe Well Centre, School of Medicine, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia
Abstract
The level of immigration from high tuberculosis (TB) burden countries (HBCs) which impacts on the foreign-born TB notification rate is largely unknown. In this work, we performed a cross-sectional analysis of epidemiological data from 2000 to 2013 from nine European countries: Austria, Denmark, Finland, Hungary, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. Crude notification rates were calculated for foreign- and native-born populations and a multiple-linear regression model predicting notification rates with HBC population data was generated. From 2000 to 2013, the population percentage with a foreign birthplace increased on average each year in all nine countries, ranging from +0.11%/year in the Netherlands to +0.66%/year in Spain. An annual increase in HBC migrants above +0.43% per year (95% Confidence Interval: 0.24%–0.63%) corresponded with higher TB notification rates in the foreign-born population of the countries analyzed. This indicates that migration from HBCs can exert a measurable effect on the foreign-born TB notification rate. However, an increase in the foreign-born TB notification rate coincided with an average annual rise in national TB notification rates only in countries, Norway (+3.85%/year) and Sweden (+2.64%/year), which have a high proportion (>80%) of TB cases that are foreign-born. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd
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Link
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84987851038&doi=10.1016%2fj.tube.2016.07.019&partnerID=40&md5=1e0626b99a472609fd48720a1a41f178
DOI: 10.1016/j.tube.2016.07.019
ISSN: 14729792
Cited by: 4
Original Language: English