European Journal of Population
Volume 23, Issue 1, 2007, Pages 1-31

Population and labour force projections for 27 European countries, 2002-2052: Impact of international migration on population ageing (Article) (Open Access)

Bijak J.* , Kupiszewska D. , Kupiszewski M. , Saczuk K. , Kicinger A.
  • a Central European Forum for Migration Research, ul. Twarda 51/55, 00-818 Warsaw, Poland
  • b Central European Forum for Migration Research, ul. Twarda 51/55, 00-818 Warsaw, Poland
  • c Central European Forum for Migration Research, ul. Twarda 51/55, 00-818 Warsaw, Poland
  • d Central European Forum for Migration Research, ul. Twarda 51/55, 00-818 Warsaw, Poland
  • e Central European Forum for Migration Research, ul. Twarda 51/55, 00-818 Warsaw, Poland

Abstract

Population and labour force projections are made for 27 selected European countries for 2002-2052, focussing on the impact of international migration on population and labour force dynamics. Starting from single scenarios for fertility, mortality and economic activity, three sets of assumptions are explored regarding migration flows, taking into account probable policy developments in Europe following the enlargement of the EU. In addition to age structures, various support ratio indicators are analysed. The results indicate that plausible immigration cannot offset the negative effects of population and labour force ageing. © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2007.

Author Keywords

Europe Labour force projections international migration Population projections Population ageing

Index Keywords

international migration Eurasia immigration policy development European Union aging population Europe labor supply
Link
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-33947356233&doi=10.1007%2fs10680-006-9110-6&partnerID=40&md5=a816570fce4c108443bc8af5ac77fa9e
DOI: 10.1007/s10680-006-9110-6
ISSN: 01686577
Cited by: 55
Original Language: English