Efforts to anticipate and account for future migration patterns would seem to hinge on an examination of the potential for the supply, demand, and replacement of labor. In Mexico, the projected number of males entering the labor force ages will be about 48% larger in the 1980s than in the 1970s and entrants will outnumber departures by a labor force replacement ratio of 407 to 100, a fifty year high. Fertility declined significantly in Mexico in the 1970s, and therefore the number of new entrants to the labor force ages in the 1990s will decline; the replacement ratio is projected to be about 330 to 100; a decrease of 19%. Nevertheless, it seems very unlikely, even allowing for renewed rapid growth in Mexico's economy, that new job opportunities can be created to accommodate such an enormous influx to the job market. Accommodations may be made more difficult because of increasing expectations of workers. -Authors

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