Scandinavian Journal of Public Health
Volume 36, Issue 7, 2008, Pages 753-760

All-cause mortality trends in Dikgale, rural South Africa, 1996—2003 (Article)

Cook I.* , Alberts M. , Burger S. , Byass P.
  • a Department of Kinesiology, University of Limpopo (Turfloop Campus), Sovenga, South Africa
  • b Department of Medical Sciences, University of Limpopo (Turfloop Campus), Sovenga, South Africa
  • c Department of Geography, University of Limpopo (Turfloop Campus), Sovenga, South Africa
  • d Umeå International School of Public Health, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden

Abstract

Aims: The Dikgale Demographic Surveillance System (DDSS) site, established in 1995, is one of three rural surveillance sites in South Africa. This paper describes detailed mortality patterns of a rural African population in the central region of Limpopo Province. Methods: These data were based on yearly household visits to collect data on vital events, covering 63, 873 person-years of observation over eight years. Results: Crude mortality was 7.5 per 1,000 person-years (females: 6.9, males: 8.1). Under-1 year and under-5 years mortality was 15.1 and 5.8 per 1,000 person-years, respectively. Life expectancy at birth was 64.3 years (females: 68.1, males: 60.0). For the two four-year periods (1996—9 and 2000—3) under-20 years mortality risk decreased (rate ratio=0.45, 95% CI: 0.25 to 0.80) while 20—49 years mortality risk increased (rate ratio=1.55, 95% CI: 1.10 to 2.20). Multivariate mortality risk for migrants remained relatively constant (0.71, 95% CI: 0.54 to 0.94) across the two four-year periods, but has increased 2.5-fold in all DDSS +50 year-old adults across the two four-year periods. Conclusions: The DDSS mortality estimates appear to have remained relatively constant while recent mortality estimates for the Agincourt Demographic and Health Surveillance System (ADHSS) site suggest that mortality risk is higher and life expectancy is lower in ADHSS residents. Moreover, DDSS mortality estimates are substantially more favourable compared with provincial and national mortality estimates. © 2008, SAGE Publications. All rights reserved.

Author Keywords

Migration South Africa AIDS Dikgale HIV Life table Mortality

Index Keywords

rural area HIV Infections Human immunodeficiency virus infection demography health survey Population Surveillance sex ratio human trend study sex difference middle aged rural population priority journal probability Aged South Africa disease surveillance Humans Adolescent life table life expectancy male female Aged, 80 and over Infant Child, Preschool Risk Factors Socioeconomic Factors Disease Outbreaks Article major clinical study adult migration Sex Distribution Infant Mortality age distribution cause of death acquired immune deficiency syndrome mortality Child

Link
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-51049100195&doi=10.1177%2f1403494808089654&partnerID=40&md5=26f49b8b858b4837b34538bf2379d12b

DOI: 10.1177/1403494808089654
ISSN: 14034948
Cited by: 10
Original Language: English